Relative to the 2012 election, Democratic support in the Rust Belt collapsed as a huge number of Democrats stayed home or (to a lesser extent) voted for a third party. Trump did not really flip white working-class voters in the Rust Belt. Mostly, Democrats lost them.That doesn't mean Democrats don't have work to do in IA, MI, OH, PA, and WI. It's just different work than we thought.
Friday, December 2, 2016
A couple of academics projected exit-poll data onto turnout figures in the Rust Belt and concluded that contrary to popular belief, white working-class voters didn't flip Republican. They just sat this one out.